Coffee Prices Today, September 10: Stronger U.S. Dollar Puts Pressure on Coffee Markets

Coffee prices fell back on global exchanges today as the strengthening U.S. dollar fueled profit-taking and sell-offs in coffee futures contracts. Meanwhile, Brazil’s coffee exports to the U.S. saw a sharp decline in August due to tariff impacts.

Domestic Coffee Prices in Vietnam on September 10
After yesterday’s sharp surge, prices across Vietnam’s Central Highlands adjusted downward by 1,000 VND/kg this morning.

The average nationwide purchase price has retreated to 114,500 VND/kg.

• In Đắk Nông, prices are at 114,600 VND/kg.
• In Đắk Lắk, farmers are selling at 114,500 VND/kg.
• In Gia Lai, prices stand at 114,300 VND/kg.
• In Lâm Đồng, the lowest price is 113,500 VND/kg.

Global Coffee Market Update

Coffee prices initially rose but reversed course by the end of the session, pressured by the stronger dollar, which triggered selling activities and profit-taking.

At the close of trading on September 9:

• On the London exchange, robusta coffee for November 2025 delivery fell 1.33% (down $59) to $4,371/ton. The January 2026 contract dropped 1.19% (down $52) to $4,307/ton.
• On the New York exchange, arabica coffee for December 2025 delivery slipped 0.79% (down 3.05 US cents/lb) to 381.8 US cents/lb. The March 2026 contract declined 0.93% (down 3.45 US cents/lb) to 368.7 US cents/lb.

According to Reuters, Brazil’s largest coffee cooperative Cooxupé reported that farmers had harvested 97% of the 2025 crop as of September 5, up from 94.9% the previous week, nearly matching last year’s 97.3% at the same time.

Weather forecaster Vaisala warned that drought conditions are expected to persist in Brazil over the next 10 days, with poor soil moisture and limited rainfall posing challenges for the flowering stage. However, traders note that there is still time for rain to arrive and support this crucial phase, which will determine the 2026 harvest size.

In addition, traders pointed to ongoing support for arabica prices from Trump’s 50% tariff on Brazilian imports, weather uncertainties, severe shipping container shortages, and a strong capital flow into agricultural commodities.

Still, prices could face significant downside risks if the U.S. Supreme Court upholds a federal appeals court ruling last month stating that President Trump exceeded his authority when imposing wide-ranging tariffs.

Brazil’s Coffee Export Situation

According to the Brazilian Coffee Exporters Council (Cecafe), Brazil’s coffee exports to the U.S. plunged 46% in August, while shipments to neighboring Latin American countries surged. However, coffee industry leaders emphasized that re-exporting Brazilian beans through third countries is not a sustainable solution to bypass U.S. tariffs.

Cecafe reported that Brazil’s coffee exports to the U.S. fell to 301,099 bags, compared to 562,723 bags in August last year.

Brazil remains the world’s largest coffee producer and exporter, while the U.S. is the biggest consumer. President Trump’s decision to impose a 50% tariff from early August on most Brazilian goods, including coffee, has sent shockwaves through the global market.

“These tariffs have disrupted the market and opened the door for speculative activities,” said Cecafe President Marcio Ferreira in a statement.

Robusta Market Pressure

Robusta prices also came under pressure as traders noted that coffee exports from Indonesia have surged, while the recent decline in ICE-monitored robusta inventories appears to have slowed.

As of September 9, ICE-monitored arabica inventories had dropped to a 16-month low of 685,945 bags. ICE-monitored robusta stocks fell to a 1.5-month low of 6,552 lots on August 28, before inching up slightly to 6,638 lots.