Coffee Price Today, July 31: Robusta Hits Two-Week High, Arabica Continues to Slide

Coffee price today showed a mixed performance across global exchanges. Robusta surged to over $3,400/ton—its highest level in two weeks—while Arabica continued to decline, falling to 293.4 US cents/pound.

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Global Coffee Price Update

London Robusta Market

• The September 2025 Robusta futures contract closed at $3,411/ton, up 1.97% (+66 USD) from the previous session.
• The November 2025 contract rose 1.67% (+55 USD), to $3,345/ton.

New York Arabica Market

• The September 2025 Arabica futures dropped 1.05% (−3.1 US cents), settling at 293.4 US cents/pound.
• The December 2025 contract also fell 1% (−2.9 US cents), ending at 286.85 US cents/pound.

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Weather and Trade Tariffs Shape Price Direction

According to Barchart and Reuters, the coffee price today diverged sharply as Robusta gained strength from updated dry weather forecasts in Vietnam, while Arabica remained under pressure amid trade uncertainty.

Forecasts now rule out rainfall this week in Vietnam’s main coffee-growing areas. As the world’s largest Robusta producer, Vietnam’s dry weather has sparked concerns over supply and driven up Robusta prices.

In contrast, Arabica continues to slide for a second consecutive session. The U.S. Secretary of Commerce, Howard Lutnick, stated that goods not grown domestically could be exempt from tariffs—if trade deals are reached with producing countries.

However, analysts remain skeptical. Broker and consultant Michael J. Nugent commented:

“Once the echo of the Secretary’s words fades, the reality becomes more troubling: nothing has changed. There’s no official policy shift. No board declaration. Not even a credible leak.”

If tariffs are imposed, coffee prices in the U.S.—the world’s top coffee consumer—could rise sharply, possibly reducing demand and placing downward pressure on global coffee prices.

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Brazil’s Rainfall and Global Surplus Outlook

Recent rainfall in Brazil also weighed on Arabica sentiment. According to Somar Meteorologia, Brazil’s Minas Gerais—its largest Arabica-producing state—received 3.5 mm of rain in the week ending July 26, over 200% above the historical average, easing drought fears.

Meanwhile, ample supply continues to curb any major market rebound.

• Citigroup projects a global coffee surplus of 6.1 million bags for the 2025–2026 season, thanks to improved production in Brazil, Vietnam, and Indonesia.

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Inventory Update

• As of July 28, ICE-monitored Robusta stockpiles rose to a 12-month high, reaching 7,029 lots.
• Conversely, Arabica inventories under ICE supervision dropped to a 3.5-month low, at 775,476 bags as of Wednesday, July 30.

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Summary:
The coffee price today reflects a divergence between Robusta—boosted by weather concerns in Vietnam—and Arabica, which continues to react to trade policy ambiguity and improving growing conditions in Brazil. With robust global supplies and regulatory uncertainties looming, markets are likely to remain volatile in the short term.