Coffee Prices Today, September 5: Mixed Movements, Will the Uptrend Continue?

Robusta coffee prices fell today, while arabica continued to edge slightly higher. According to Brazil’s National Supply Company (Conab), it will not be easy for the United States to replace Brazilian coffee with other global supply sources.

Global Coffee Price Updates

On the London exchange, robusta coffee futures closed lower on September 4:

September 2025 contracts settled at USD 4,581/ton, down 0.63% (USD 29) compared with the previous session.
November 2025 contracts fell 0.9% (USD 40), to USD 4,414/ton.

Meanwhile, on the New York exchange, arabica coffee futures continued their mild upward trend:

September 2025 contracts closed at 385.75 US cents/pound, up 0.13% (0.5 cents).
December 2025 contracts increased by 0.2% (0.75 cents), reaching 374.4 US cents/pound.

Supply and Demand Outlook from Brazil

According to Reuters, Conab stated in a report that it will not be easy for the U.S. to replace coffee from Brazil on the global market, where supplies are already tight. Conab also suggested that the upward price trend may continue.

The U.S. remains the world’s largest coffee consumer, while Brazil holds its position as the leading producer and exporter.

Conab revised its 2025 Brazilian coffee production forecast down to 55.2 million bags, compared with the 55.7 million bags projected in May. Despite the downward revision, this figure is still 1.8% higher than last year.

Arabica output is projected at 35.15 million bags.
Robusta production is forecast at 20.05 million bags.

Global Export and Production Trends

According to the International Coffee Organization (ICO), global green coffee (unroasted) exports in July fell 0.7% year-on-year, to 10.3 million bags, compared with the record levels reached in 2024.

Meanwhile, Colombia, the world’s leading supplier of washed arabica, reported a sharp recovery in output.

Coffee production in August 2025 rose 19% year-on-year, reaching 1.24 million 60-kg bags.
German Bahamon, President of the National Federation of Coffee Growers of Colombia, explained that the increase was due to a delayed harvest from the first half of the year, caused by prolonged rainfall.

He emphasized that while these results reflect the resilience of Colombia’s coffee industry, output is expected to fall in Q4, with production forecast to be around 1 million bags lower than in 2024.

In 2024, Colombia produced fewer than 14 million bags of coffee and exported about 12.3 million bags.
Exports in August 2025 reached 1.13 million bags, up 10% compared with just over 1.03 million bags in August 2024.

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