Coffee Prices Today, Nov 11: Mixed Performance as Arabica Continues Rise on Supply Concerns

Coffee prices today showed mixed results; Robusta saw a slight decrease of $25/ton, while Arabica climbed nearly 2%. Southern areas of Brazil’s Minas Gerais state were hit by heavy rain and hail last week, causing damage to many farms.

---

Global Coffee Market Update

At the close of the November 10 trading session, coffee futures prices were as follows:

• Robusta (London): The November 2025 contract for Robusta on the London exchange decreased slightly by 0.53% ($25/ton) compared to the previous session, closing at $4,637/ton. The January 2026 contract also fell 0.53% ($25/ton), settling at $4,623/ton.
• Arabica (New York): Conversely, on the New York exchange, Arabica futures continued to rise. The December 2025 contract increased by 1.7% (6.95 US cents/lb) from the prior day, reaching 414.75 US cents/lb. The March 2026 contract rose 1.89% (7.3 US cents/lb), settling at 393.15 US cents/lb.

Vietnam Domestic Coffee Prices

In Vietnam’s domestic market, coffee prices on November 11, 2025, saw a decrease. The average price in the Central Highlands fell by 700 VND/kg to 118,700 VND/kg.

Prices in key producing provinces were recorded as follows:

• Dak Lak: 119,000 VND/kg (a decrease of 600 VND)
• Lam Dong: 117,600 VND/kg (a decrease of 600 VND)
• Gia Lai: 118,600 VND/kg (a decrease of 300 VND)
• Dak Nong: 118,500 VND/kg (a decrease of 1,200 VND)

---

Market Analysis

According to Barchart and Comunicaffe, coffee prices were supported by signs of tightening global supply after the International Coffee Organization (ICO) reported that global coffee exports for the 2024-2025 season (October to September) fell by -0.3% year-on-year, down to 138.658 million bags.

Additionally, the Brazilian real (USDBRL) rising to a 5-week high against the USD caused Brazilian coffee producers to curb sales, which continued to support Arabica prices.

Sources from Brazil reported that the southern part of Minas Gerais state experienced heavy rain and hail last week, damaging many farms. The cities of Araponga, Muriaé, Viçosa, Canaã, and Novo Cruzeiro were affected, as well as some areas near Angelândia. “The rain was very heavy, and in some places, the hail was strong enough to damage the trees,” a local farmer said.

Meanwhile, the National Federation of Coffee Growers of Colombia reported that coffee production in Colombia, the world’s top supplier of washed Arabica beans, fell by 10% year-on-year in October.

Coffee inventories on the ICE exchange continue to decline, also lending support to prices. The US 50% tariff on imports from Brazil has caused a sharp drop in ICE warehouse stockpiles. ICE-monitored Arabica inventories fell to a 1.75-year low, reaching 417,478 bags as of the end of last week; while Robusta inventories fell to a 3.75-month low of 5,873 lots.

Conversely, Robusta coffee faced downward pressure after initial assessments indicated that Typhoon Kalmaegi—which made landfall in Vietnam last week—did not cause significant damage to Vietnam’s coffee-growing regions.

The Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association (Vicofa) stated that the greatest damage was recorded in Gia Lai, but even in this case, the impact was not severe—according to local sources cited by Bloomberg. However, producers note that if rain continues in the coming weeks—as the harvest gets into full swing—the problem could become more serious.

In reality, rain and high humidity can prevent coffee from drying properly, negatively affecting quality. The tail end of the storm brought more rain in the following days, raising further alarms about potential floods and landslides. The extent of infrastructural damage is still being assessed.

Meanwhile, Super Typhoon Fung-Wong has made landfall in the Philippines—a nation already devastated by Typhoon Kalmaegi last week—causing severe, widespread damage.