Coffee prices showed a strong recovery today, with Robusta jumping nearly $120/ton as investors remained cautious, despite reports that Typhoon Kalmaegi did not impact Vietnam’s main coffee-growing regions.
Global Coffee Market Update
In the trading session on November 7, Robusta and Arabica futures prices rose sharply.
- Robusta (London): The November 2025 contract reversed course, surging 2.60% ($118/ton) from the previous session to close at $4,662/ton. The January 2026 contract also rose 2.60% ($118/ton), reaching $4,648/ton.
- Arabica (New York): The December 2025 contract climbed 2.79% (11.05 US cents/lb) from the prior day, settling at 407.80 US cents/lb. The March 2026 contract increased 1.79% (6.90 US cents/lb) to 385.85 US cents/lb.
Vietnam Domestic Coffee Prices
Domestically in Vietnam, prices also saw a strong increase on November 8, 2025. The average price in the Central Highlands rose to 119,300 VND/kg, an increase of +2,500 VND/kg from the previous day.
Prices in key producing provinces were recorded as follows:
- Dak Lak: 119,500 VND/kg (+2,700)
- Lam Dong: 118,000 VND/kg (+2,300)
- Gia Lai: 118,800 VND/kg (+2,300)
- Dak Nong: 119,500 VND/kg (+2,500)
Market Analysis
According to Reuters, Robusta coffee futures on the ICE exchange rose sharply in the week’s final session, as investors remained cautious despite information that Typhoon Kalmaegi had not caused significant damage to Vietnam’s main coffee-growing regions.
At least five people were killed in Vietnam after Typhoon Kalmaegi swept through coastal areas.
The government issued warnings about the risk of flooding in the Central Highlands—Vietnam’s key coffee region—but traders reported that the rain has eased and the coffee trees are not affected.
“Although the harvest is generally safe, Kalmaegi, combined with flooding and storm surges from recent storms, could still cause washouts, slow the drying process, and disrupt logistics,” stated a trader in Vietnam.
According to Artis Trading, Vietnam’s coffee production for the 2025-2026 crop year is expected to increase by 9.3% year-on-year, thanks to better crop care.
A Bloomberg source reported that Dak Lak province—Vietnam’s largest coffee-producing locality—appears to have avoided the most severe damage from the storm.
Previously, experts were concerned that heavy rains and strong winds could damage coffee trees across the Central Highlands, just as farmers were beginning the harvest.
“So far, the situation does not seem too serious; we are still gathering more information on the extent of the damage,” said Mr. Trinh Duc Minh, Chairman of the Buon Ma Thuot Coffee Association (Dak Lak), in an interview.
Meanwhile, Arabica coffee prices rose as green coffee exports from Brazil—the world’s top Arabica producer—reached only 233,094 tons in October, a decrease from 279,233 tons in the same period last year.
International traders are in the process of shipping approximately 150,000 bags of Brazilian Arabica to ICE warehouses in Europe, a move that could help replenish stocks and cool prices that are near record highs.
As of November 7, ICE-monitored Arabica inventories had fallen to a 1.75-year low of 417,478 bags. ICE-monitored Robusta inventories also decreased to a 3.5-month low of 5,926 lots.
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