Coffee Prices Today, September 3: Sharp Decline for the Second Consecutive Day

Coffee prices continued to fall sharply by 4–5% on international exchanges as favorable weather in Brazil boosted production prospects for the next crop year, despite ongoing trade tensions with the United States weighing on market activity. In Vietnam, domestic coffee prices also plunged by VND 6,200–6,500/kg, dropping to VND 114,300–115,000/kg.

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Vietnam Coffee Price Update

According to market surveys, coffee prices in Vietnam’s Central Highlands dropped significantly this morning, falling by VND 6,200–6,500/kg compared to yesterday, now ranging between VND 114,300 and 115,000/kg.

• Đắk Nông: VND 115,000/kg (down 6,500).
• Đắk Lắk: VND 115,000/kg (down 6,300).
• Gia Lai: VND 114,800/kg (down 6,200).
• Lâm Đồng: VND 114,300/kg (down 6,200).

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Global Coffee Price Update

At the close of trading on September 2:

• On the London exchange, Robusta coffee futures continued their steep decline:
  • September 2025 contract: USD 4,602/ton, down 4.66% (USD 225).
  • November 2025 contract: USD 4,399/ton, down 4.95% (USD 229).
• On the New York exchange, Arabica coffee futures also plunged:
  • September 2025 contract: 382.2 US cents/pound, down 3.69% (14.65 cents).
  • December 2025 contract: 370.35 US cents/pound, down 4.08% (15.75 cents).

According to Bloomberg, Arabica prices fell on improved weather conditions in Brazil, the world’s top producer, which raised expectations for next year’s harvest despite trade tensions with the U.S. dampening overall transactions.

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Brazil Weather and Crop Outlook

After a dry spell, weekly rainfall in Minas Gerais—Brazil’s largest Arabica-producing region—rebounded above average levels. Meteorologists at Climatempo forecast that a cold front will bring scattered showers later this week.

“Moderate temperatures, no severe heat, and good soil moisture levels are being reported. The market’s attention is now focused on the timing and frequency of rains during the crucial flowering period in September,” coffee trader Sucafina noted in a report.

Analysts emphasize that weather during the flowering stage is decisive for Brazil’s crop outlook. Although early-August cold snaps may have curbed potential in Cerrado Mineiro, conditions overall remain “quite favorable,” according to StoneX analysts who conducted field surveys last week.

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Market Pressure from Trade Tensions and Harvest Progress

Coffee prices remain volatile under the weight of U.S. tariffs. Brazil’s President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is expected to hold an online meeting with BRICS leaders next Monday to discuss U.S. trade policy under President Donald Trump.

According to Barchart, Robusta prices fell to a one-week low on September 2, pressured by higher-than-average rainfall in Brazil that eased concerns over the upcoming flowering stage.

Data from Somar Meteorologia shows Minas Gerais received 10.1 mm of rainfall during the week ending August 30, equivalent to 163% of the historical average.

At the same time, the Brazilian real weakened to a 1.5-week low against the U.S. dollar, encouraging Brazilian producers to accelerate exports.

Meanwhile, harvest pressure is mounting. Cooxupé, Brazil’s largest coffee cooperative and exporter, announced that its members had completed 94.9% of the 2025 harvest as of August 29.

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Coffee Stock Levels

• Robusta inventories on the ICE exchange fell to a one-month low of 6,552 lots as of August 28.
• Arabica inventories monitored by ICE dropped to a 1.25-year low of 699,404 bags as of September 2.